Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 51.161137 58.745058 66.558089 75.172827 84.370755 93.865660 104.376614
2025-12-28 41.799390 52.836851 64.766781 78.472022 93.644992 109.806744 128.205468
2026-01-04 35.605599 48.507806 62.965405 80.062963 99.456605 120.532970 144.943382
2026-01-11 29.754254 43.710642 59.909433 79.587666 102.395610 127.614134 157.245718
2026-01-18 25.108013 39.733249 57.288997 79.143936 104.959315 133.926273 168.372892
2026-01-25 21.715529 36.894665 55.692099 79.605755 108.315639 140.929349 180.095838
2026-02-01 18.362987 33.723031 53.384666 78.955459 110.150771 146.010782 189.478897
2026-02-08 15.741089 31.233058 51.705918 78.878909 112.508129 151.570275 199.302131
2026-02-15 13.168593 28.511257 49.504176 77.965697 113.706632 155.653619 207.316225
2026-02-22 11.637783 27.138266 48.962826 79.052838 117.265260 162.465554 218.463757
2026-03-01 10.397585 26.064541 48.728634 80.458862 121.160478 169.638484 230.006498
2026-03-08 8.604954 23.874909 46.789739 79.518023 122.039125 173.123931 237.144084
2026-03-15 6.806032 21.422955 44.333899 77.803823 121.903054 175.380745 242.855955
2026-03-22 6.428085 21.466343 45.505782 80.970734 127.978605 185.207505 257.619993
2026-03-29 5.738557 20.825077 45.598106 82.625142 132.088972 192.615003 269.478754
2026-04-05 4.673836 19.265336 44.189367 82.135007 133.378128 196.519256 277.101013
2026-04-12 3.761199 17.829189 42.864975 81.684643 134.661916 200.375820 284.634441
2026-04-19 3.126597 16.871042 42.227726 82.154377 137.115632 205.660305 293.880728
2026-04-26 2.409410 15.518773 40.848485 81.492670 138.025986 208.985269 300.719838
2026-05-03 1.878720 14.478938 39.910117 81.414762 139.674209 213.208353 308.635491
2026-05-10 1.340727 13.188785 38.439458 80.485393 140.131724 215.897168 314.646870
2026-05-17 1.087588 12.705468 38.352784 81.591760 143.324098 222.038665 324.896744
2026-05-24 0.896014 12.362128 38.491704 83.022475 146.949788 228.728710 335.825142